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Predictive Systems
PSI Daily

Governments Fund Sovereign AI, but Most Projects Still Rely on U.S. Tech

SovereigntyAllan C. Tan, MS

Governments buy sovereignty with councils, funds, and data budgets. A new index shows most projects still lean on American chips, clouds, and models.

A row of computer chips, each locked with a brass globe padlock, with their wires converging toward a single point in the dark.

A Canadian council meets to advise on sovereign AI. A Saudi fund eyes startups for government services. South Korea folds its data budget into a bigger frontier program. In the first days of October, three governments put fresh weight behind the same word. Sovereignty.

The Center for a New American Security tracks what that word really buys. Its Sovereign AI Index counts 184 government-backed projects across infrastructure, models, and data. Infrastructure takes 59 percent, models 32 percent, and data just 9 percent. The Middle East and East Asia hold more than 80 percent of disclosed spending, and the UAE and Japan alone account for nearly two thirds. The catch sits deeper in the stack. More than three fifths of tracked projects name at least one foreign partner, and four fifths of those partners are American. NVIDIA chips show up in 45 percent of infrastructure projects. Building a national data center, CNAS notes, often swaps one U.S. dependency for another.

Councils, funds, and data checks

On October 2, Prime Minister Mark Carney launched Canada's National Council on Artificial Intelligence to advise the AI for All strategy on adoption, national champions, and sovereign infrastructure. On October 4, Saudi Arabia's Digital Government Authority and STV Capital signed a deal to invest up to SAR 500 million in AI startups tied to government needs. South Korea's proposed 2027 budget moves sovereign model data support into an 800 billion won frontier data program and plans support for about 10,000 next-generation NVIDIA GPUs. Japan is separately drafting rules that would make big data holders report plans to share sensitive personal data, including with foreign clouds. That plan is still a proposal from unnamed sources, not a law.

Open-weight models such as Aleph Alpha's Kolibri show one path to more control at the model layer. Chips and clouds are harder.

Sovereignty is for sale. The full stack is not.

Sources

  1. Prime Minister of Canada, "Prime Minister Carney launches new National Council on Artificial Intelligence," Oct. 2, 2026
  2. Center for a New American Security, "Sovereign AI Index," published April 20, 2026, updated Aug. 18, 2026
  3. Sharikat Mubasher, "Saudi DGA, STV plan SAR 500 mn investment in AI startups," Oct. 4, 2026
  4. Aju Press, "Government Integrates AI Data Budget into Frontier AI Initiative, Allocating 750 Billion Won," Oct. 2, 2026
  5. Seoul Economic Daily, "Korea's AI Model Project to Proceed With Third Round as Planned," Oct. 5, 2026
  6. The Mainichi, "Japan mulls requiring organizations to report plans to share sensitive data," Oct. 5, 2026