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Predictive Systems
PSI Daily

House Bill Would Score Chinese Open-Weight AI, Not Ban It

SovereigntyAllan C. Tan, MS

Washington’s answer to DeepSeek-era open weights is not a prohibition. It is a Commerce Department scoreboard: promote American models, and name the risks of the other kind.

us china flags

Not a ban. A scoreboard.

The United States is not proposing to outlaw Chinese open-weight models. It is proposing to keep score.

What moved on Tuesday

A House Energy and Commerce subcommittee marked up H.R. 10152, the Open-Source AI Leadership Act, one of several China-focused tech bills moving that day. Introduced 27 August by Rep. Gabe Evans of Colorado, the bill would direct the Commerce Department to promote “qualified open models” including open-weight systems developed and released by US persons. It is committee process, not law. It has not passed the House.

The prospectus

The sharper clause is the report. Within 18 months of enactment, and every year for a decade, Commerce would have to publish an assessment of “foreign adversary models”: open weights from a “covered nation” or an entity it controls. The list of risks is not subtle: training data and unauthorized use of US models, confidentiality of personal and proprietary information, supply-chain resilience, the accuracy and political character of outputs, the weakness of safety features, and chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear misuse. The department would also compare cost, capability and uptake against American open models.

The sentence that matters

What the bill will not do is as important as what it will. Section 4 is a rule of construction: nothing in the act authorizes Commerce to ban, restrict, or make an open model unavailable. In a town that has already used export controls to take frontier APIs offline, that sentence is the point. The weapon is sunlight and industrial policy, not a kill switch.

Why the open-weight gap

Leading US systems, the South China Morning Post notes, still tend to sit behind official APIs. Leading Chinese systems tend to ship weights. H.R. 10152 treats that distribution channel as a contest for adoption, not a culture-war argument about whether “open” is a virtue. A qualified open model, in the bill’s definition, is one whose weights are public or licensed for use, modification and redistribution  and that is not a covered-nation product wearing an open licence.

For every CIO already running Qwen or Kimi on a European or Gulf rack, the message is: Washington will not confiscate the weights. It will publish a prospectus on why you might wish you hadn’t downloaded them.

This account is based on the introduced text of H.R. 10152 and reporting by the South China Morning Post on the 1 September markup.

Source: Congress advances new bill to give US edge in open-source AI race with China